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Warren
Buffet needs no introduction, he is
the American investor, businessman and philanthropist. He is regarded as
one of the world's greatest stock market investors, and is the largest
shareholder and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway.With an estimated net worth of around
US$62 billion, he was ranked by Forbes as the richest person in the world
as of February 11, 2008. Buffet is noted for his adherence to the value
investing philosophy and for his personal frugality despite his immense wealth.
Here are a few tips from the
expert himself........
"Let's take a look at what kind
of businesses turn us on. And while we're at it, let's also discuss what we
wish to avoid." he says.
Look for companies that have
* a business
we understand;
* favorable
long-term economics;
* able
and trustworthy manage-ment;
* a sensible price tag
We like to buy the whole business
or, if management is our partner, at least 80%. When control-type purchases of
quality aren't available, though, we are also happy to simply buy small
portions of great businesses by way of stockmarket purchases. It's better to
have a part interest in the Hope Diamond than to own all of a rhinestone.
A truly great business must have
an enduring "moat" that protects excellent returns on invested capital. The
dynamics of capitalism guarantee that competitors will repeatedly assault any
business "castle"
that is earning high returns. Therefore a formidable barrier such as a company's being the
lowcost producer (GEICO, Costco) or possessing a powerful world-wide brand (Coca-Cola, Gillette,
American Express) is essential for sustained success. Business history is
filled with "Roman
Candles," companies whose moats proved illusory and were soon crossed.
Our criterion of "enduring" causes us to rule out companies in industries
prone to rapid and continuous change. Though capitalism's "creative
destruction" is highly beneficial for society, it precludes investment
certainty. A moat that must be continuously
rebuilt will eventually be no moat at all.
Additionally,
this criterion eliminates
the business whose success depends on having a great manager.
Of course, a terrific CEO is a huge asset
for any enterprise, and at Berkshire
we have an abundance of these managers. Their abilities have created billions
of dollars of value that would never have materialized if typical CEOs had been
running their businesses. But if a business requires a superstar to produce great results, the
business itself cannot be deemed great. A
medical partnership led by your area's premier brain surgeon may enjoy outsized
and growing earnings, but that tells little about its future. The partnership's
moat will go when the surgeon goes. You can count, though, on the moat of the Mayo Clinic to endure,
even though you can't name its CEO.
Long-term competitive advantage in a stable industry
is what we seek in a business. If that comes
with rapid organic growth, great. But even without organic growth, such a
business is rewarding. We will simply take the lush earnings of the business
and use them to buy similar businesses elsewhere. There's no rule that you have to
invest money where you've earned it. Indeed, it's often a mistake to do so: Truly great
businesses, earning huge returns on tangible assets, can't for any extended
period reinvest a large portion of their earnings internally at high rates of
return.
Let's
look at the prototype of a dream business, our own See's Candy. The
boxed-chocolates industry in which it operates is unexciting: Per-capita
consumption in the U.S.
is extremely low and doesn't grow. Many once-important brands have disappeared,
and only three companies have earned more than token profits over the last
forty years. Indeed, I believe that See's, though it obtains the bulk of its
revenues from only a few states, accounts for nearly half of the entire
industry's earnings.
At
See's, annual sales were 16 million pounds of candy when Blue Chip Stamps
purchased the company in 1972. (Charlie and I controlled Blue Chip at the time
and later merged it into Berkshire.) Last year
See's sold 31 million pounds, a growth rate of only 2% annually. Yet its
durable competitive advantage, built by the See's family over a 50-year period,
and strengthened subsequently by Chuck Huggins and Brad Kinstler, has produced
extraordinary results for Berkshire.
We
bought See's for $25 million when its sales were $30 million and pre-tax earnings
were less than $5 million. The capital then required to conduct the business
was $8 million. (Modest seasonal debt was also needed for a few months each
year.) Consequently, the company was earning 60% pre-tax on invested capital.
Two factors helped to minimize the funds required for operations. First, the product was sold for
cash, and that eliminated accounts receivable. Second, the production and
distribution cycle was short, which minimized inventories.
Last
year See's sales were $383 million, and pre-tax profits were $82 million. The
capital now required to run the business is $40 million. This means we have had
to reinvest only $32 million since 1972 to handle the modest physical growth -
and somewhat immodest financial growth - of the business.
In
the meantime pre-tax earnings have totaled $1.35 billion. All of that, except
for the $32 million, has been sent to Berkshire
(or, in the early years, to Blue Chip). After paying corporate taxes on the
profits, we have used the rest to buy other attractive businesses. Just as Adam
and Eve kick-started an activity that led to six billion humans, See's has
given birth to multiple new streams of cash for us. (The biblical command to
"be fruitful and multiply" is one we take seriously at Berkshire.)
There aren't many Sees in
Corporate America. Typically, companies that increase their earnings from $5
million to $82 million require, say, $400 million or so of capital investment
to finance their growth. That's because growing businesses have both working
capital needs that increase in proportion to sales growth and significant
requirements for fixed asset investments.
A company that needs large
increases in capital to engender its growth may well prove to be a satisfactory
investment. There is, to follow through on our example, nothing shabby about earning
$82 million pre-tax on $400 million of net tangible assets. But that equation
for the owner is vastly different from the See's situation.
It's far better to have an ever-increasing stream of
earnings with virtually no major capital requirements. Ask Microsoft or Google.
Excerpts from Warren Buffets Speech to shareholders in
2007.
Issue BG86
May 08
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